Monday, October 21, 2019

Stock Seasonality

The worst six months of the year (May-October) gave us a bit of a corrective consolidation this year.

We are slowly approaching the best six months (November-April) of the year.

Let's see if a bullish bias for stocks will develop.

I do not trade or invest according to seasonality. For that purpose I only use the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies which are explained at the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Dashboard Dailies (closing previous business day)

Daily Time Frame Trading

AEX @ 572,72 (AEX Daily Chart)
Bullish environmentBullish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 15-10-2019 (579,87). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Longs opened on 15-10-2019 (579,87).

BRENT @ 59,42 (BRENT Daily Chart)
Bearish environment. Bearish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 25-09-2019 (61,43). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Shorts opened on 25-09-2019. Shorts closed on 10-10-2019 @ profit (price above 8 day EMA).

GOLD @ 1.494,10 (GOLD Daily Chart)
Bullish environment. Bearish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 03-10-2019 (1.513,80). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Only when environment and trade mode point in the same direction.

SOYB @ 934 (SOYB Daily Chart)
Bullish environmentBullish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 10-09-2019 (872). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Longs opened on 30-09-2019 (906). Longs closed (50%) on 01-10-2019 @ profit (price above upper Bollinger Band). Longs closed (50%) on 11-10-2019 @ profit (price above upper Bollinger Band).

SPX @ 2.986,20 (SPX Daily Chart)
Bullish environment. Bullish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 16-10-2019 (2.989,69). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Longs opened on 16-10-2019 (2.989,69).

UST @ 130,07 (UST Daily Chart)
Bullish environment. Bearish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 15-10-2019 (129,98). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Only when environment and trade mode point in the same direction.

XEU @ 111,72 (XEU Daily Chart)
Bearish environment. Bullish trade mode.
Current. Trade mode start: 11-10-2019 (110,42). Trade mode exit:.
Actual trade: Only when environment and trade mode point in the same direction.

Environment situation and trade modes are determined on a daily closing basis.

For actual trading I use capped futures (limited downside risk) and options.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.