Friday, September 21, 2018

Dashboard Dailies (daily closing basis)

Daily Time Frame Trading

AEX @ 547,75 (AEX Daily ChartAEX Weekly Chart).
No trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 31-08-2018 (558,42).
Trade mode exit date: 18-09-2018 (543,06) (trade mode window profit).
Trade notes: Shorts close on 10-09-2018 @ profit.

BRENT @ 78,21 (Brent Daily Chart; BRENT Weekly Chart).
No trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 18-09-2018 (79,03).
Trade mode exit date: 20-09-2018 (78,21) (trade mode window loss).
Trade notes:.

GOLD @ 1.211,30 (GOLD Daily Chart; GOLD Weekly Chart).
Bullish trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 19-09-2018 (1.208,30).
Trade mode exit date:.
Trade notes:.

SOYB @ 850,25 (SOYB Daily Chart; SOYB Weekly Chart).
No trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 11-09-2018 (831,75).
Trade mode exit date: 19-09-2018 (830) (trade mode window profit).
Trade notes: Shorts close on 19-09-2018 @ profit.

SPX @ 2.930,75 (SPX Daily Chart; SPX Weekly Chart).
Bullish trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 18-09-2018 (2.904,31).
Trade mode exit date:.
Trade notes:.

UST @ 118,57(UST Daily Chart; UST Weekly Chart).
Bearish trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 14-09-2018 (119,22).
Trade mode exit date:.
Trade notes: Shorts open on 18-09-2018 (119).

XEU @ 117,78 (XEU Daily Chart; XEU Weekly Chart).
Bullish trend trade mode.
Trade mode entry date: 17-09-2018 (116,86).
Trade mode exit date:.
Trade notes: Longs open on 17-09-2018.

Trend trade modes are determined on a daily closing basis.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Sunday, September 16, 2018

Trade Mode Entry and Exit

Trend trade modes and its entry and exit dates are determined by the Trend Trade and Investment Strategies. For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog.

The way I go about these modes and dates is as follows.

If a trade mode entry occurs at a certain date I might consider a trade on that date.

If I choose to make a trade on the trade mode entry date I will then start to review the progress of the trade.

In the progress of the trade the following might happen.

1) The market goes against me. Then I terminate the trade at a loss at the trade mode exit date.
2) The market goes my way. Then I could early terminate the trade at a profit when a close is made below/above the low/high of the previous day or at an important resistance/support level (for longs/for shorts respectively).
3) The market goes my way. If I haven't early terminated the trade before I will do so at a profit at the trade mode exit date.

The time that passes between the trade mode entry and exit date is the trade mode window. If I choose to enter a trade I do so on the trade mode entry date. I consider exiting during the whole trade mode window but I never stay in the trade beyond the trade mode exit date.

Please read the disclaimer at the bottom of the blog.

AEX Elliott Wave Musings Update

This update should be read in conjunction with AEX Elliott Wave Musings which was revised on 26 December, 2016.

It presents the tentative Elliott Wave count as I imagine it.

SuperCycle (V) up - Cycle I up - Primary 5 up - Intermediate 5 up / Minor 2 down. The hypothetical time horizon on the remainder of Primary 5 and thus Cycle I is Intermediate 4 down and 5 up (January 2018 - December 2020). Ideally Intermediate 4 down targets 515 or about and a potential targetzone on this projection for Intermediate 5 up and the whole of Cycle I up might be 650-675.

There is also an off chance that Cycle I up has finished. Although that is in the back of my mind it is not my main hypothesis. Only if we go below 516,58 will I give that thought more food.

For a graphical display look at the AEX Monthly Charts (AEX Monthly Chart I and AEX Monthly Chart II).

Don't hang your hat on this kind of analysis. It will be wrong more often than not. It is only a human and therefore feeble attempt to create some order out of seemingly random market movements.

I don't trade or invest according to these views. For that purpose I only use the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies which are explained at the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Saturday, September 15, 2018

Dashboard Monthlies

Monthly Time Frame Investing

AEX @ 540,53 (AEX Monthly Chart).
Investment mode since 31-07-2018.

BRENT @ 78,09 (BRENT Monthly Chart).
Investment mode since 31-10-2017.

CRB @ 190,48 (CRB Monthly Chart).
Divestment mode since 31-07-2018.

GOLD @ 1.201,10 (GOLD Monthly Chart).
Divestment mode since 31-05-2018.

REIT @ 358,58 (REIT Monthly Chart).
Investment mode since 31-08-2018.

SOYB @ 830,50 (SOYB Monthly Chart).
Divestment mode since 30-06-2018.

SPX @ 2.904,98 (SPX Monthly Chart).
Investment mode 31-08-2018.

UST @ 119,22 (UST Monthly Chart).
Divestment mode since 30-09-2017.

XEU @ 116,24 (XEU Monthly Chart).
Divestment mode since 31-05-2018.

Investment and divestment modes are determined on a monthly closing basis.

Investment means going long, divestment means selling these longs. Shorts are in the investment context not considered.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.


Tuesday, August 28, 2018

How and with what I trade and invest?

I trade and invest of course according to the Trade & Investment Strategies.

The instruments I use are capped futures (limited downside risk), options and direct investments.

Futures and options, i.e. leveraged financial products, are mainly used for all trading purposes and for investing in bonds, commodities, currencies and indexes. At any one time I never invest more than 5% of my available free capital in these leveraged instruments. For investing in particular stocks I buy or sell the underlying securities directly.

Trading futures and options involves the risk of considerable loss. Please consider carefully wether these instruments are appropriate to your financial situation.  Only risk capital that you can afford to lose when using these trading and investment vehicles.

For an explanation of the abbreviations and the Trend Trade & Investment Strategies see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Saturday, June 30, 2018

Updates

There will be no updates on Saturday the 30th of June.