Friday, November 24, 2017

Updates

There will be no updates this Saturday and Sunday.

Good luck with trading and investing. Be careful out there.

I will start posting again on Monday.

Dashboard Dailies (daily closing basis)

Daily Time Frame Trading

AEX @ 541,35 (23-11-2017) (AEX Daily Chart). TTIP mode.
Bearish trend direction. Trend trade setup valid.
Trend trade setup initiation variables: +/0/+.

BRENT @ 63,30 (22-11-2017) (Brent Daily Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend trade setup valid.
Trend trade setup initiation variables: +/+/+.

GOLD @ 1.292,20 (22-11-2017) (GOLD Daily Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend trade setup valid.
Trend trade setup initiation variables: +/+/-.

SOYB @ 997,25 (22-11-2017) (SOYB Daily Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend trade setup valid.
Trend trade setup initiation variables: +/0/+.

XEU @ 118,20 (22-11-2017) (XEU Daily Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend trade setup valid.
Trend trade setup initiation variables: +/0/-.

Only BRENT qualifies for a (long) trend trade setup.

TTIP mode and trend investment setup validness is determined on a daily basis.

The trend trade setup initiation variables are Trend Trade Setup, Trend Channel and Bollinger Band. 

Trend Trade Setup can be valid (+) or not (-). The Trend Channel can allow for movement in the direction of the trend (+) or not (-). If no reliable trend channel can be drawn the variable scores a zero (0). Bollinger Band can allow for normal price movement in the direction of the trend (+) or not (-). The last two variables should both be considered in a risk-reward context.

For an initiation of a trade we need three plusses (+/+/+).

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Principle, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Sunday, November 19, 2017

Dashboard Monthlies

Monthly Time Frame Trading & Investing

AEX @ 536,62 (AEX Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

BRENT @ 62,72 (BRENT Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

COMMODITIES (CRB) @ 190,39 (CRB Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bearish trend direction. Trend investment setup invalid.

GOLD @ 1.296,50 (GOLD Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

REAL ESTATE (REIT) @ 359,58 (DJR Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

STOCKS (SPX) @ 2.578,85 (SPX Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

BONDS (UST) @ 124,80 (UST Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bearish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
(yield implication is inverse)

EURO VS US DOLLAR (XEU) @ 117,92 (XEU Monthly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.

TTIP mode is determined on a monthly closing basis. Trend investment setup validness is determined on a weekly basis.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Principle, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

AEX Elliott Wave Musings Update

This update should be read in conjunction with AEX Elliott Wave Musings which was revised on 26 December, 2016.

It presents the tentative Elliott Wave count as I imagine it.

SuperCycle (V) - Cycle I - Primary 5 - Intermediate 4 down / Minor A down. The hypothetical time horizon on the remainder of Primary 5 and thus Cycle I is Intermediate 4 down and 5 up (January 2016 - December 2020). A potential target on this projection for Cycle I might be 650.

For a graphical display look at the AEX Monthly Chart.

Don't hang your hat on this kind of analysis. It will be wrong more often than not. It is only a human and therefore feeble attempt to create some order out of seemingly random market movements.

I don't trade or invest according to these views. For that purpose I only use the Trend Trade & Investment Principle which is explained at the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Dashboard Weeklies (based on the previous business day)

Weekly Time Frame Trading

AEX @ 536,62 (AEX Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup invalid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: -/+/+.

BRENT @ 62,72 (BRENT Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: +/+/-.

COPPER @ 3,08 (COPPER Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup invalid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: -/+/+.

GOLD @ 1.274,20 (GOLD Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup invalid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: -/+/+.

SOYB @ 987 (SOYB Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: +/+/+.

SPX @ 2.582,30 (SPX Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: +/-/+.

UST @ 124,47 (UST Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bearish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: +/-/+.

WHEAT @ 431,50 (WHEAT Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bearish trend direction. Trend investment setup valid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: +/-/+.

XBI @ 82,77 (XBI Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment mode invalid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: -/+/+.

XEU @ 116,64 (XEU Weekly Chart). TTIP mode.
Bullish trend direction. Trend investment setup invalid.
Trend investment setup initiation variables: -/+/+.

TTIP mode and trend investment setup validness is determined on a weekly basis.

The trend investment setup initiation variables are Trend Investment Setup, Trend Channel and Bollinger Band. 

Trend Investment Setup can be valid (+) or not (-). The Trend Channel can allow for movement in the direction of the trend (+) or not (-). If no reliable trend channel can be drawn the variable scores a zero (0). Bollinger Band can allow for normal price movement in the direction of the trend (+) or not (-). The last two variables should both be considered in a risk-reward context.

For an initiation of an investment we need three plusses (+/+/+).

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Principle, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Wednesday, August 30, 2017

Dashboard Dailies

If an actual setup is created during the day the Dashboard Dailies of that day (usually published at 08:00 am CET) will be updated.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Principle, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

How and with what we trade and invest at Stochtrader?

We trade and invest of course according to the Trade & Investment Principle.

The instruments we use are capped futures (limited downside risk), options and direct investments.

Futures and options, i.e. leveraged financial products, are mainly used for all trading purposes and for investing in commodities, currencies and indexes. For investing in bonds and stocks we buy or sell the underlying securities directly.

Trading futures and options involves the risk of considerable loss. Please consider carefully wether these instruments are appropriate to your financial situation.  Only risk capital that you can afford to lose when using these trading and investment vehicles.

For an explanation of the abbreviations and the Trend Trade & Investment Principle see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.