Trend Trade Modes

Summary Current Trend Trade & Investment Modes

Short Term Trend Trade Mode AEX

Intermediate Term Trend Trade & Investment Mode AEX - GOLD - COPPER - BRENT - WHEAT - SOYB - XEU - SPX - USB

Long Term Equity Investing Mode AEX

Current Personal Portfolio AHOLD, ARCELOR MITTAL (o.c.), ASMI (o.c.), FUGRO (o.c.), ING (o.c.), ROYAL IMTECH and ROYAL DUTCH (o.c.) (o.c. = inclusive various call/put option constructions)

(Green=Bullish, Grey=Neutral & Red=Bearish)

Tuesday, July 31, 2012

AEX Daily Update

AEX @ 328,65. Short Term Trading. (AEX Daily Chart). DTFM-Bu, HTF-BeRe and HEMA 8 > HEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 26-07-2012 @ 14:00 as of 319,06, ended 27-07-2012 @ 09:01 as of 321,62 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 2,56 index points (0,80%).
AEX @ 328,65. Intermediate Term Trading. (AEX Weekly Chart). WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 15-06-2012 as of 297,58, with a stoploss of 288,90, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 29-03-2012 as of 324,76, ended 15-06-2012 as of 297,58 with a profit of 27,18 index points (8,37%).
AEX @ 328,65. Long Term Trading & Investing. (AEX Monthly Chart). MTFM-Bu, WTF-BuRe and WEMA 8 > WEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 16-07-2012 as of 315,98, with a stoploss of 292,98, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 WEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 18-04-2012 as of 309,99, ended 13-07-2012 as of 312,49 with a loss of 2,50 index points (0,80%).
AEX @ 328,65. Long Term Equity Investing. (). YTFM-Be, MTF-BuRe and MEMA 8 < MEMA 13. We are in a no equity investment mode since 05-08-2011 as of 296,98 which was the stoploss we gave the previous equity investment mode.

For an explanation of the abbreviations and the Trend Trade & Investment Principle see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

GOLD, COPPER, WTIC, WHEAT, SOYB, XEU, SPX and UST

GOLD @1.624. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 04-06-2012 as of 1.613,19, ended 27-07-2012 as of 1.619,90 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 6,71 dollar points (0,42%).

COPPER @ 3,42. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 = DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 24-01-2012 as of 3,82, ended 26-01-2012 as of 3,90 by early termination with a profit of 0,08 dollar points (2,09%).

WTIC 89,78. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 03-07-2012 as of 87,50, with a stoploss of 77,28, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 29-03-2012 as of 102,78, ended 04-05-2012 as of 98,49 by early termination with a profit of 4,29 dollar points (4,17%).

WHEAT @ 914,50. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 05-06-2012 as of 613,25, with a stoploss of 688,25, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA (hedged with SOYB). The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 15-03-2012 as of 664, ended 18-05-2012 as of 695,25 by early termination with a profit of 31,25 dollar points (4,71%).

SOYB @ 16,4350. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 11-06-2012 as of 14,2250, with a stoploss of 1.317,50, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 09-05-2012 as of 14,2825, ended 18-05-2012 as of 14,05 by early termination with a profit of 0,2325 dollar points (1,63%).

XEU @ 1,2259. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 05-07-2012 as of 1,2393, with a stoploss of 1,2693, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 12-03-2012 as of 1,3154, ended 08-05-2012 as of 1,3006 by early termination with a profit of 0,0148 dollar points (1,13%).

SPX @ 1.385,30. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 14-06-2012 as of 1.329,10, ended 27-07-2012 as of 1.385,97 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 56,87 index points (4,28%).

UST @ 133,85. IntermediateTerm Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 => DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 13-03-2012 as of 1,2952, with a stoploss of 132 (consolidation play (127,24-132)), which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA.

Please read the disclaimer at the bottom of the blog.

Sunday, July 29, 2012

Preview Monday's AEX Daily Update

AEX @ 323,31. Short Term Trading. (AEX Daily Chart). DTFM-Bu, HTF-BuRe and HEMA 8 > HEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 26-07-2012 @ 14:00 as of 319,06, ended 27-07-2012 @ 09:01 as of 321,62 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 2,56 index points (0,80%).
AEX @ 323,31. Intermediate Term Trading. (AEX Weekly Chart). WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 15-06-2012 as of 297,58, with a stoploss of 288,90, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 29-03-2012 as of 324,76, ended 15-06-2012 as of 297,58 with a profit of 27,18 index points (8,37%).
AEX @ 323,31. Long Term Trading & Investing. (AEX Monthly Chart). MTFM-Bu, WTF-BuRe and WEMA 8 > WEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 16-07-2012 as of 315,98, with a stoploss of 292,98, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 WEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 18-04-2012 as of 309,99, ended 13-07-2012 as of 312,49 with a loss of 2,50 index points (0,80%).
AEX @ 323,31. Long Term Equity Investing. (). YTFM-Be, MTF-BuRe and MEMA 8 < MEMA 13. We are in a no equity investment mode since 05-08-2011 as of 296,98 which was the stoploss we gave the previous equity investment mode.

For an explanation of the abbreviations and the Trend Trade & Investment Principle see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

Saturday, July 28, 2012

Trend Trade & Investment Principle

Sligthly revised above mentioned principle with regard to early termination.

For details review the principle at the bottom of the blog.

AEX Elliott Wave

How will the market unfold in Elliott Wave terms.

This is my wave guesstimate for the moment.

The assumption is that we are in Minor 3 up of Minor C up of Intermediate (2) up of Primary (C) down of Cycle II down of either Super Cycle (III) up or Super Cycle (V) up. The potential target area for this Ã¼berbearish Primary C down could be anywhere between 215 and 270 (AEX Daily Chart).

Remember, I do not speculate on these beliefs, I will only trade and invest according to the Trend Trade & Investment Principle.

For extensive and detailed Elliott Wave analysis I refer to "the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on", "PUG Stock Market Analysis, LLC" and "Daneric's Elliott Waves" sites which can be found on My Blog List.

Please read the disclaimer at the bottom of the blog.

GOLD, COPPER, WTIC, WHEAT, SOYB, XEU, SPX and UST

GOLD @1.619,90. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 04-06-2012 as of 1.613,19, ended 27-07-2012 as of 1.619,90 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 6,71 dollar points (0,42%).

COPPER @ 3,43. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 = DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 24-01-2012 as of 3,82, ended 26-01-2012 as of 3,90 by early termination with a profit of 0,08 dollar points (2,09%).

WTIC 90,04. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 03-07-2012 as of 87,50, with a stoploss of 77,28, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 29-03-2012 as of 102,78, ended 04-05-2012 as of 98,49 by early termination with a profit of 4,29 dollar points (4,17%).

WHEAT @ 898. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 05-06-2012 as of 613,25, with a stoploss of 688,25, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA (hedged with SOYB). The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 15-03-2012 as of 664, ended 18-05-2012 as of 695,25 by early termination with a profit of 31,25 dollar points (4,71%).

SOYB @ 16,0125. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 11-06-2012 as of 14,2250, with a stoploss of 1.317,50, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 09-05-2012 as of 14,2825, ended 18-05-2012 as of 14,05 by early termination with a profit of 0,2325 dollar points (1,63%).

XEU @ 1,2318. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 05-07-2012 as of 1,2393, with a stoploss of 1,2693, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 12-03-2012 as of 1,3154, ended 08-05-2012 as of 1,3006 by early termination with a profit of 0,0148 dollar points (1,13%).

SPX @ 1.385,97. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 14-06-2012 as of 1.329,10, ended 27-07-2012 as of 1.385,97 by early termination (BB) with a profit of 56,87 index points (4,28%).

UST @ 133,42. IntermediateTerm Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 => DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 13-03-2012 as of 1,2952, with a stoploss of 132 (consolidation play (127,24-132)), which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA.

Please read the disclaimer at the bottom of the blog.