Trend Trade Modes

Summary Current Trend Trade & Investment Modes

Short Term Trend Trade Mode AEX

Intermediate Term Trend Trade & Investment Mode AEX - GOLD - COPPER - BRENT - WHEAT - SOYB - XEU - SPX - USB

Long Term Equity Investing Mode AEX

Current Personal Portfolio AHOLD, ARCELOR MITTAL (o.c.), ASMI (o.c.), FUGRO (o.c.), ING (o.c.), ROYAL IMTECH and ROYAL DUTCH (o.c.) (o.c. = inclusive various call/put option constructions)

(Green=Bullish, Grey=Neutral & Red=Bearish)

Saturday, March 31, 2012

AEX Elliott Wave

How will the market unfold in Elliott Wave terms.

This is my guesstimate for the moment.

We should be in Minor C down of Intermediate (4) down of Primary (1) up of Cycle III up of either Super Cycle (III) up or Super Cycle (V) up. Target for Intermediate (4) down could be 310.

Remember, I do not speculate on these beliefs, I will only trade and invest according to the Trend Trade & Investment Principle.

For extensive and detailed Elliott Wave analysis I refer to "the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on", "PUG Stock Market Analysis, LLC" and "Daneric's Elliott Waves" sites which can be found on My Blog List.

GOLD, COPPER, WTIC, WHEAT, SOYB, XEU, SPX and UST

GOLD @ 1.671,90. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bearish trend trade mode, that was in place since 05-03-2012 as of 1.703,90, ended 06-03-2012 as of 1.672,10 by early termination with a profit of 31,80 dollar points (1,87%).

COPPER @ 3,83. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 <= DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 24-01-2012 as of 3,82, ended 26-01-2012 as of 3,90 by early termination with a profit of 0,08 dollar points (2,09%).

WTIC 103,02. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 29-03-2012 as of 102,78, with a stoploss of 108,25, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 16-02-2012 as of 102,31, ended 17-02-2012 as of 103,60 by early termination with a profit of 1,29 dollar points (1,26%).

WHEAT @ 660,75. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 15-03-2012 as of 664, with a stoploss of 621 (consolidation play (621-683,75), which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 27-02-2012 as of 652,75, ended 28-02-2012 as of 668,25 by early termination with a profit of 15,50 dollar points (2,37%).

SOYB @ 14,03. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bullish trend trade mode since 26-03-2012 as of 13,7250, with a stoploss of 11,50, which will end after a bearish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA.

XEU @ 1,3344. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Bu, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 12-03-2012 as of 1,3154, with a stoploss of 134,86 (consolidation play (129,77-134,86), which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 24-01-2012 as of 1,3035, ended 08-02-2012 as of 1,3258 by early termination with a profit of 0,0223 dollar points (1,71%).

SPX @ 1.408,47. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BeRe and DEMA 8 > DEMA 13. No trend trade mode due to early termination. The most recent bullish trend trade mode, that was in place since 21-12-2011 as of 1.243,75, ended 05-01-2012 as of 1.281,06 by early termination with a profit of 37,31 index points (3,00%).

UST @ 128,71. Intermediate Term Trading. WTFM-Be, DTF-BuRe and DEMA 8 < DEMA 13. We are in a bearish trend trade mode since 13-03-2012 as of 1,2952, with a stoploss of 131,35, which will end after a bullish cross of the 8 and 13 DEMA.