Sunday, July 15, 2018

Dashboard Monthlies

Monthly Time Frame Trading & Investing

AEX @ 560,12 (AEX Monthly Chart I).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup valid.
Longer Term: Bullish Trend Channel (Target 650).
Support/Resistance: 505,92/572,82 and pattern bounderies.

BRENT @ 74,92 (BRENT Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup valid.
Longer Term: Bullish Trend Channel (Target Resistance Level).
Support/Resistance: 61,76/115,71 and pattern bounderies.

COMMODITIES (CRB) @ 193,73 (CRB Monthly Chart).
TTIP modTrend investment setup invalid.
Longer Term: Bullish Trend Channel (Target Resistance Level).
Support/Resistance: 187,35/233,53 and pattern bounderies.

GOLD @ 1.241,20 (GOLD Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup invalid.
Longer Term: Bullish Ascending Triangle in jeopardy (Target Support Level).
Support/Resistance: 1.238,30/1.377,50 and pattern bounderies.

REAL ESTATE (REIT) @ 355,62 (DJR Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup invalid.
Longer Term: Bearish Trend Channel (Target Resistance Level).
Support/Resistance: 311,38/364,03 and pattern bounderies.

STOCKS (SPX) @ 2.801,31 (SPX Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup valid.
Longer Term: Bullish Trend Channel (Target Resistance Level).
Support/Resistance: 2.532,69/2.872,87 and pattern bounderies.

BONDS (UST) @ 120,31 (UST Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup valid (yield implication is inverse).
Longer Term: Bearish Trend Channel (Target Support Level).
Support/Resistance: n.a./121,17 and pattern bounderies.

EURO VS US DOLLAR (XEU) @ 116,92 (XEU Monthly Chart).
TTIP modeTrend investment setup invalid.
Longer Term: Bearish Trend Channel (Target Support Level).
Support/Resistance: 115,58/139,93 and pattern bounderies.

TTIP mode is determined on a monthly closing basis. Trend investment setup validness is determined on a weekly basis.

For Patterns and pattern bounderies look at the Monthly Charts.

For an explanation of the Trend Trade & Investment Principle, its abbreviations and its usage see the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.

AEX Elliott Wave Musings Update

This update should be read in conjunction with AEX Elliott Wave Musings which was revised on 26 December, 2016.

It presents the tentative Elliott Wave count as I imagine it.

SuperCycle (V) - Cycle I - Primary 5 - Intermediate 4 down. The hypothetical time horizon on the remainder of Primary 5 and thus Cycle I is Intermediate 4 down and 5 up (January 2018 - December 2020). Ideally Intermediate 4 down targets 515 or about and a potential targetzone on this projection for Intermediate 5 up and the whole of Cycle I might be 650-675.

Only when we go above 572,90 we will get an indication that Intermediate 5 up might be in play.

For a graphical display look at the AEX Monthly Charts (AEX Monthly Chart I and AEX Monthly Chart II).

Don't hang your hat on this kind of analysis. It will be wrong more often than not. It is only a human and therefore feeble attempt to create some order out of seemingly random market movements.

I don't trade or invest according to these views. For that purpose I only use the Trend Trade & Investment Principle which is explained at the bottom of this blog. Please also read the disclaimer there.